Preview for Sunday, September 27, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.
New York Mets at Washington Nationals
The Mets bring a 0.306 estimated wOBA and a pitching staff running a 4.12 FIP and 4.14 ERA into Washington, while the Nationals counter with a slightly better offensive number at 0.321 wOBA but weaker run prevention marks of 4.79 FIP and 4.67 ERA. That split sets up a game where Washington's lineup edge could be offset by the Mets' better staff-wide numbers.
On the mound, Sean Manaea has logged about 144.7 innings with a 4.67 ERA and 4.51 FIP, giving New York a capable if unspectacular option. DJ Herz has been used sparingly for Washington, with just 4.0 innings and an ERA of 9.00 alongside a 5.92 FIP, numbers that stand out as far shakier than Manaea's on a small sample. Boston Baro and Danis Correa and Daniel Duarte are listed on the injured list for the Mets, while Tyler Baum, Levi Jordan and Drew Millas are listed for the Nationals, all reported injury statuses rather than certainties for this game.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Mets +1.5. Confidence: Slight Lean.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Mets: Francisco Lindor. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Nationals: Yohandy Morales. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees
Baltimore's offense checks in with a 0.310 wOBA against a Yankees staff that owns the far better run-prevention marks in this game, a 3.78 FIP and 3.24 ERA compared to the Orioles' own 4.10 FIP and 4.08 ERA. New York's estimated wOBA of 0.312 is also slightly ahead of Baltimore's, giving the Yankees the favorable reading on both sides of the ledger.
Shane Baz takes the ball for Baltimore having thrown roughly 179.7 innings with a 4.11 ERA and a stronger 3.69 FIP, a workload and performance level well ahead of Elmer Rodríguez, who has just 26.7 innings logged for New York with a 5.40 ERA and 4.93 FIP. That gap makes Baz the more tested arm even as Baltimore's overall staff figures trail New York's. Keegan Akin, Blaze Alexander and Samuel Basallo carry injury designations for the Orioles, while Angel Benitez, Kervin Castro and Angel Chivilli are listed for the Yankees.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Orioles +1.5. Confidence: Slight Lean.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Orioles: Christian Encarnacion-Strand. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Yankees: Luis García Jr.. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox
Chicago's offense leads this matchup with a 0.332 wOBA, well above Boston's 0.313 mark, but the Red Sox counter with better run-prevention figures across the board, a 3.71 FIP and 3.52 ERA against the Cubs' 4.67 FIP and 4.13 ERA. That contrast points to a game where Chicago's bats face a Boston staff performing at a higher level overall.
Shota Imanaga starts for Chicago with about 173.3 innings pitched, a 3.74 ERA and a 4.51 FIP, solid volume with results that lag his ERA. Boston's starter is not listed in the available information for this preview. Tyler Austin, Brandon Birdsell and Ben Brown are listed on the injured list for the Cubs, while Kristian Campbell, Triston Casas and Kutter Crawford carry designations for the Red Sox.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
No rated WP selection is available in this article snapshot.
WP home-run candidate for Cubs: Michael Conforto. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Red Sox: Mickey Gasper. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Houston Astros at Oakland Athletics
Houston's lineup posts a 0.316 wOBA against Oakland's 0.314, a virtual wash offensively, but the pitching numbers separate the two sides clearly. The Astros' staff sits at 4.61 FIP and 4.48 ERA, both better than Oakland's 5.01 FIP and 5.48 ERA, giving Houston the clearer advantage in this matchup.
Peter Lambert has been durable for Houston with 153.7 innings pitched, a 3.87 ERA and a 4.00 FIP that roughly matches his run-prevention results. Seth Johnson has thrown just 32.0 innings for Oakland with a 6.19 ERA that sits well above his 4.70 FIP, suggesting some volatility in his results so far. Jamie Arnold and Henry Baez are listed on Oakland's injury report, while Brandon Bielak, Jax Biggers and Drew Brutcher are listed for Houston.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Astros moneyline. Confidence: Confident.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Astros: Lucas Spence. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Athletics: Zack Gelof. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles carries the better offensive number here with a 0.331 wOBA compared to San Francisco's 0.307, and the Dodgers also hold the edge in run prevention with a 3.78 FIP and 3.57 ERA against the Giants' 4.32 FIP and 4.34 ERA. Those figures line up consistently in the Dodgers' favor across both sides of the game.
San Francisco's starter Carson Seymour has worked 30.7 innings with a 4.70 ERA and a 5.94 FIP, the higher of the two figures suggesting his peripheral numbers have been tougher than his runs allowed. The Dodgers' starting pitcher is not listed in the available information for this preview. Willy Adames is listed on the injured list for the Giants, while Yency Almonte, Ben Casparius and Jake Cousins carry designations for the Dodgers.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
No rated WP selection is available in this article snapshot.
WP home-run candidate for Dodgers: Max Muncy. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Giants: Victor Bericoto. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies
Tampa Bay's offense checks in at a 0.317 wOBA, slightly ahead of Philadelphia's 0.306, while the Phillies hold a modest pitching edge with a 3.85 FIP against the Rays' 4.09 FIP, though Tampa Bay's 3.68 ERA is better than Philadelphia's 4.05 ERA. The two sides look close on paper with each holding an advantage in a different category.
This is one of the day's strongest starting pitching matchups. Nick Martinez has been excellent for Tampa Bay across 177.3 innings, posting a 2.94 ERA with a 4.04 FIP, while Zack Wheeler has been arguably even better for Philadelphia over 156.0 innings with a 3.06 ERA and a sharper 3.41 FIP. Both arms have outpitched their FIPs by a wide margin, but Wheeler's peripheral numbers stand out as the better of the two. Luis Arraez is listed with a status of Out for the Phillies, and Adolis Garcia and Moises Chace also carry injury designations for Philadelphia, while Anderson Brito, Aaron Brooks and Garrett Cleavinger are listed for the Rays.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Rays +1.5. Confidence: Slight Lean.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Phillies: Derek Hill. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Rays: Victor Mesa Jr.. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays
Cincinnati's lineup shows a 0.304 wOBA against a Toronto offense at 0.302, both modest marks, while the pitching staffs separate more clearly. Toronto's 4.06 FIP and 3.91 ERA are both better than Cincinnati's 4.88 FIP and 4.83 ERA, giving the Blue Jays the stronger staff-wide reading in this matchup.
Brandon Williamson has thrown 49.7 innings for Cincinnati with a 4.89 ERA and 5.81 FIP, both rougher marks than what Toronto's Max Scherzer has produced across a larger 77.7-inning sample, though Scherzer's own 6.14 ERA and 5.50 FIP have also been difficult this season. Addison Barger, Jose Berrios and Shane Bieber are among those listed on Toronto's injury report, while Sam Benschoter, Chase Burns and Connor Burns carry designations for Cincinnati.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Reds +1.5. Confidence: Slight Lean.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Blue Jays: Davis Schneider. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Reds: Elly De La Cruz. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals
Cleveland's offense sits at a 0.305 wOBA against Kansas City's 0.311, a slight edge for the Royals at the plate, but the Guardians hold a clear advantage on the mound with a 3.87 FIP and 3.77 ERA compared to Kansas City's 4.81 FIP and 4.79 ERA. That gap in run prevention gives Cleveland the stronger overall reading in this matchup.
Parker Messick has been outstanding for Cleveland, working 183.3 innings with a 2.55 ERA and a 3.14 FIP, numbers that rank among the better starting performances on the day. Daniel Lynch IV has thrown 80.7 innings for Kansas City with a 4.13 ERA and 4.40 FIP, a solid mark but clearly behind Messick's production. Jonah Advincula and Robert Arias are listed for Cleveland, while Luinder Avila, Ryan Bergert and Christian Chamberlain carry designations for Kansas City, and Emmanuel Clase is listed with a status of Out for the Guardians.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Guardians moneyline. Confidence: Strong.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Guardians: Angel Martínez. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Royals: Jac Caglianone. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh's offense leads with a 0.321 wOBA against Detroit's 0.314, while the Tigers hold the better ERA at 3.66 compared to the Pirates' 4.17, even though Pittsburgh's 3.89 FIP is slightly better than Detroit's 4.08 FIP. The two teams present a mixed statistical picture with each side owning an advantage in a different category.
Jared Jones has logged 97.7 innings for Pittsburgh with a 3.87 ERA and a stronger 3.36 FIP. Detroit's River Ryan has thrown just 3.0 innings with an ERA of 0.00 and a 2.17 FIP, an extremely small sample that limits how much can be drawn from it. Braxton Ashcraft and Kyler Fedko and Jaiker Garcia are listed on Pittsburgh's injury report, while Kerry Carpenter, Paul DeJong and Kyle Finnegan carry designations for Detroit.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Tigers +1.5. Confidence: Slight Lean.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Pirates: Rafael Flores Jr.. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Tigers: Eduardo Valencia. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres
Arizona's offense posts a 0.313 wOBA against San Diego's 0.312, a near dead heat, while the Diamondbacks also hold a narrow pitching edge with a 4.41 FIP against the Padres' 4.28 FIP, though San Diego's 3.99 ERA is better than Arizona's 4.14 ERA. The overall picture is tightly bunched between the two sides.
Michael Soroka has been effective for Arizona over 111.3 innings, posting a 3.31 ERA with an even better 3.16 FIP. Randy Vásquez has worked 134.7 innings for San Diego with a 4.01 ERA and 4.39 FIP, numbers that trail Soroka's on both counts. Kyle Amendt, Ryan Bruno and Corbin Burnes are listed on Arizona's injury report, while Miguel Andujar, Humberto Cruz and Yu Darvish carry designations for San Diego, with Cruz and Darvish both listed with a status of Out.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Padres +1.5. Confidence: Slight Lean.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Diamondbacks: Jordan Lawlar. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Padres: Ty France. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles' offense checks in at a 0.299 wOBA, the lower of the two figures here, against Seattle's 0.303, while the Mariners also hold a narrow pitching edge with a 4.06 FIP against the Angels' 4.16 FIP, even though Los Angeles' 4.29 ERA sits worse than Seattle's 4.21 ERA. Seattle's figures come out ahead on both sides of the ball in this comparison.
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown 62.7 innings for the Angels with a 4.88 ERA and a better 4.19 FIP. Logan Gilbert has been the workhorse for Seattle with 182.0 innings, a 3.81 ERA and a 3.98 FIP, giving him the edge in both innings and results over Kikuchi. Nacho Alvarez, Gustavo Campero and Rio Foster are listed for the Angels, while Matt Brash, Nick Davila and Brennen Davis carry designations for Seattle.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Mariners moneyline. Confidence: Confident.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Angels: Mike Trout. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Mariners: Lazaro Montes. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins
Texas and Minnesota post nearly identical offensive marks, a 0.311 wOBA for the Rangers against 0.312 for the Twins. On the mound, Texas holds a lead in both figures, with a 4.20 FIP and 4.30 ERA compared to Minnesota's 4.28 FIP and 4.56 ERA.
MacKenzie Gore has worked 170.7 innings for Texas with a 4.59 ERA and a better 3.93 FIP. Dean Kremer has thrown 83.3 innings for Minnesota with a 4.97 ERA and 4.93 FIP, both marks trailing Gore's. Mick Abel, Anthony Banda and Eduardo Beltre are listed on Minnesota's injury report, while Carter Baumler, Jalen Beeks and Paul Bonzagni carry designations for Texas.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Twins +1.5. Confidence: Slight Lean.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Rangers: Justin Foscue. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Twins: Ryan Jeffers. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox
Colorado's offense holds a 0.320 wOBA against Chicago's 0.316, but the White Sox counter with markedly better run prevention, a 4.32 FIP and 4.14 ERA compared to the Rockies' 4.93 FIP and 5.60 ERA. That pitching gap gives Chicago the stronger overall reading in this matchup.
Kyle Freeland has thrown 131.3 innings for Colorado but carries a 6.58 ERA against a lower 5.03 FIP, a wide split between the two marks. Anthony Kay has worked 153.0 innings for the White Sox with a 4.53 ERA and 4.87 FIP, numbers that are considerably better than Freeland's ERA even if the FIPs sit closer together. Tyler Bell, Brody Brecht and McCade Brown are listed on Colorado's injury report, while Brooks Baldwin, Joey Bart and Aldrin Batista carry designations for Chicago.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: White Sox moneyline. Confidence: Confident.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Rockies: Mickey Moniak. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for White Sox: Randal Grichuk. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins
Atlanta's offense posts a 0.311 wOBA against Miami's 0.317, a slight edge for the Marlins at the plate, while the Braves hold the better ERA at 3.62 compared to Miami's 4.10, even though Atlanta's 4.19 FIP trails Miami's 4.22 FIP only narrowly. The overall picture between the two sides is fairly close.
JR Ritchie has thrown 67.7 innings for Atlanta with a 4.79 ERA and a higher 5.61 FIP. Janson Junk has worked 119.0 innings for Miami with a 4.31 ERA and a 4.20 FIP that sits much closer to his runs-allowed mark, giving him the steadier peripheral profile of the two starters. Rayven Antonio is listed for Atlanta along with Starlyn De La Cruz and Bryce Elder, while Aiva Arquette, Anthony Bender and Keyner Benitez carry designations for Miami.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Braves +1.5. Confidence: Slight Lean.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Braves: Ronald Acuña Jr.. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Marlins: Griffin Conine. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis' offense sits at a 0.303 wOBA against Milwaukee's stronger 0.325 mark, and the Brewers also hold the pitching edge with a 3.78 FIP and 3.51 ERA compared to the Cardinals' 4.15 FIP and 4.25 ERA. Both the offensive and run-prevention numbers favor Milwaukee in this matchup.
Andre Pallante has been reliable for St. Louis across 157.0 innings with a 3.61 ERA and a 3.78 FIP. Jacob Misiorowski has been outstanding for Milwaukee over 169.3 innings, posting a 1.86 ERA and a 2.23 FIP, both figures well ahead of Pallante's and among the better marks in the day's matchups. Grant Anderson and J.B. Bukauskas and Sean Episcope are listed on Milwaukee's injury report, while Joshua Baez, Hunter Dobbins and Frank Elissalt carry designations for St. Louis.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Brewers -1.5. Confidence: Lock.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Brewers: Jackson Chourio. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Cardinals: Alec Burleson. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.