Preview for Thursday, September 17, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.
Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds
The Dodgers head to Cincinnati with the stronger overall offensive and pitching profile on paper. Los Angeles carries a WP-estimated wOBA of 0.329 compared to the Reds' 0.306, suggesting a more productive lineup, and the Dodgers' team ERA of 3.65 and FIP of 3.89 both sit well ahead of Cincinnati's 4.85 ERA and 4.87 FIP, pointing to a clear gap in run prevention between the two clubs.
On the mound, Justin Wrobleski gets the ball for Los Angeles with an ERA of 3.78 and a WP-calculated FIP of 4.36 over approximately 133.3 innings this season. Brady Singer starts for Cincinnati having worked about 150.7 innings, but his ERA of 5.38 and FIP of 5.47 are both higher than Wrobleski's marks, giving the visiting starter the more favorable underlying numbers heading into this one.
Injury notes for this game include Julian Aguiar and Sam Benschoter of the Reds both listed on the 7-Day IL, while Connor Burns of Cincinnati is listed on the 60-Day IL. For the Dodgers, Yency Almonte, Ben Casparius, and Jake Cousins are all listed on the 60-Day IL. Taken together, the team and pitching figures favor Los Angeles, whose offense and run-prevention numbers both compare favorably to Cincinnati's across the board.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Dodgers moneyline. Confidence: Strong.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Dodgers: Mookie Betts. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Reds: Elly De La Cruz. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.