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Dodgers vs. Giants Prediction — September 26, 2026

2026-09-26 · Posted at 9:41 AM ET · Dodgers @ Giants

Preview for Saturday, September 26, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants

The Dodgers head to San Francisco with a clear edge on both sides of the ball based on the available team figures. Los Angeles carries a WP-estimated wOBA of 0.331 compared to the Giants' 0.307, suggesting a stronger offensive profile, and the Dodgers' pitching marks of a 3.79 FIP and 3.57 ERA both look sharper than San Francisco's 4.32 FIP and 4.34 ERA. Across the board, the team-level numbers lean toward Los Angeles.

The starting pitching matchup only reinforces that gap. Blake Snell takes the mound for the Dodgers with an ERA of 1.86 and a WP-calculated FIP of 1.80 over approximately 38.7 innings pitched, numbers that stand well ahead of Matt Wilkinson's 3.65 ERA and 4.31 FIP across roughly 24.7 innings for the Giants. Snell's underlying figures are considerably better than Wilkinson's in both earned run average and the FIP metric that strips out defense and sequencing.

On the injury front, the Giants have Willy Adames listed on the 10-Day IL, along with Harrison Bader and Hayden Birdsong both listed on the 60-Day IL. The Dodgers list Yency Almonte, Ben Casparius, and Jake Cousins on the 60-Day IL. These are reported roster statuses rather than indications of who will play, but combined with the statistical gap between the two clubs and their starters, the numbers available for this matchup favor the Dodgers.

Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.

WP selection: Dodgers moneyline. Confidence: Strong.

The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.

WP home-run candidate for Dodgers: Max Muncy. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.

WP home-run candidate for Giants: Victor Bericoto. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.

Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.

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