Preview for Friday, September 25, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants
The Dodgers head to San Francisco with Tarik Skubal on the mound, and his numbers stand out clearly against the rest of the pitching in this matchup. Skubal carries a 2.85 ERA and a WP-calculated FIP of 2.68 across approximately 151.7 innings pitched this season, marks that point to a pitcher who has both limited runs and controlled the underlying components of run prevention. Yunior Marte starts for the Giants with a much smaller sample of about 19.3 innings pitched, and his 4.66 ERA and 5.45 FIP sit well behind Skubal's figures.
Looking at the team-level numbers, the Dodgers hold the offensive edge with a WP-estimated wOBA of 0.331 compared to the Giants' 0.308, suggesting Los Angeles has been the more productive offense overall. On the pitching side, the Dodgers' staff ERA of 3.59 and FIP of 3.82 are both lower than San Francisco's 4.36 ERA and 4.32 FIP, indicating the Dodgers have generally prevented runs more effectively as a team as well.
Several injury notes are attached to this game. Willy Adames of the Giants is listed on the 10-Day IL, while Harrison Bader and Hayden Birdsong of the Giants are both listed on the 60-Day IL. For the Dodgers, Yency Almonte, Ben Casparius, and Jake Cousins are all listed on the 60-Day IL. Taken together, the statistical picture favors Los Angeles, with Skubal's individual numbers and the Dodgers' team-wide wOBA, ERA, and FIP all comparing favorably to what San Francisco brings into this matchup.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Dodgers -1.5. Confidence: Lock.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Dodgers: Max Muncy. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Giants: Victor Bericoto. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.