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Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction — September 26, 2026

2026-09-26 · Posted at 9:43 AM ET · Diamondbacks @ Padres

Preview for Saturday, September 26, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres

Arizona and San Diego square off in a matchup where the team numbers are tightly bunched. The Diamondbacks carry a WP-estimated wOBA of 0.313 against a FIP of 4.39 and an ERA of 4.10, while the Padres show a wOBA of 0.311, a FIP of 4.28, and an ERA of 3.97. Arizona's offensive figure is marginally better, but San Diego's run-prevention marks are lower across both FIP and ERA, giving the Padres a modest edge on the pitching side of the ledger.

San Diego's scheduled starter Walker Buehler brings an ERA of 4.56 and a WP-calculated FIP of 4.52 over approximately 150.0 innings pitched this season. No starting-pitcher information is available for Arizona in this preview, so a direct pitching matchup comparison cannot be made beyond noting Buehler's individual numbers, which sit a bit below his team's overall FIP and ERA marks.

Both rosters carry notable injury designations. For Arizona, Kyle Amendt and Ryan Bruno are each listed on the 60-Day IL, and Corbin Burnes is listed on the 15-Day IL. For San Diego, Miguel Andujar is listed on the 10-Day IL, while Humberto Cruz and Yu Darvish are each listed with a status of 'Out'. Weighing the team-level figures together, San Diego's edge in ERA and FIP gives it a slight overall advantage on the numbers presented, even with Arizona's small wOBA advantage factored in.

Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.

No rated WP selection is available in this article snapshot.

WP home-run candidate for Diamondbacks: Jordan Lawlar. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.

WP home-run candidate for Padres: Ethan Salas. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.

Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.

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