Preview for Saturday, September 26, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.
St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers
The Cardinals head to Milwaukee for a 7:10 PM ET matchup with Quinn Mathews on the mound against Dustin May. Mathews has been effective in a limited sample of approximately 44.3 innings pitched, posting a 3.65 ERA and a 3.87 FIP. May, who has thrown considerably more, approximately 142.7 innings, carries a higher ERA of 4.67 but a lower FIP of 3.67, suggesting his underlying performance may have been stronger than his run-prevention numbers indicate.
Looking at the team-level figures, Milwaukee holds the edge across the board on offense and pitching. The Brewers' WP-estimated wOBA of 0.325 is higher than St. Louis's 0.303, pointing to a more productive offense. On the run-prevention side, Milwaukee's team ERA of 3.52 and FIP of 3.79 are both lower than the Cardinals' marks of 4.26 and 4.15, respectively, indicating the Brewers have allowed fewer runs and have better peripheral numbers as a staff.
Several injury statuses are on record for this game. Grant Anderson and J.B. Bukauskas of the Brewers are listed on the 15-Day IL and 60-Day IL, respectively, while Sean Episcope is listed on the 60-Day IL for Milwaukee. For St. Louis, Joshua Baez is listed on the 10-Day IL, Hunter Dobbins is listed on the 15-Day IL, and Frank Elissalt is listed on the 60-Day IL. Taken together, the team-level statistics favor Milwaukee, with better marks in wOBA, ERA, and FIP than St. Louis, while the starting pitching matchup presents a more mixed picture between Mathews's strong current-season numbers in a smaller workload and May's larger workload with a favorable FIP relative to his ERA.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Brewers moneyline. Confidence: Confident.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Brewers: Jackson Chourio. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Cardinals: Alec Burleson. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.