Preview for Friday, September 25, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.
St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers
The Cardinals head to Milwaukee with Michael McGreevy on the mound, and he brings a 3.84 ERA over approximately 164.0 innings pitched this season, with a WP-calculated FIP of 4.32. Robert Gasser starts for the Brewers, carrying a 4.01 ERA across approximately 103.3 innings pitched, with a WP-calculated FIP of 4.39. McGreevy's ERA and FIP are both a touch better than Gasser's marks, giving him a slight edge in this particular pitching matchup even though the underlying numbers are fairly close.
Looking at the team-wide figures, Milwaukee holds the better offensive profile with a WP-estimated wOBA of 0.324 compared to St. Louis's 0.304. On the run-prevention side, the Brewers again come out ahead with a team ERA of 3.52 and FIP of 3.78, both lower than the Cardinals' team ERA of 4.24 and FIP of 4.15. Taken together, Milwaukee's statistical profile is stronger than St. Louis's across both hitting and pitching categories listed.
Several injury designations are attached to this game. Grant Anderson is listed on the 15-Day IL for Milwaukee, while J.B. Bukauskas and Sean Episcope are both listed on the 60-Day IL for the Brewers. For St. Louis, Joshua Baez is listed on the 10-Day IL, Hunter Dobbins is listed on the 15-Day IL, and Frank Elissalt is listed on the 60-Day IL. With Milwaukee's team wOBA, ERA and FIP all more favorable than St. Louis's corresponding figures, and McGreevy holding a modest statistical edge over Gasser individually, the overall numbers lean toward the Brewers in this matchup.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Brewers moneyline. Confidence: Confident.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Brewers: Jackson Chourio. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Cardinals: Leo Bernal. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.