Preview for Sunday, September 20, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.
Milwaukee Brewers at Baltimore Orioles
The Brewers head to Baltimore with a clear pitching advantage on the mound as Jacob Misiorowski takes the ball for Milwaukee against Brandon Young of the Orioles. Misiorowski has been outstanding this season, posting a 1.89 ERA and a 2.26 FIP across approximately 166.3 innings pitched, numbers that place him firmly ahead of Young, who carries a 3.65 ERA and a 4.64 FIP over roughly 145.7 innings. Both marks suggest Misiorowski has been not just effective but also difficult to hit, while Young's higher FIP relative to his ERA hints that his results may have been a bit fortunate.
Looking at the broader team numbers, Milwaukee also holds the edge on offense and overall pitching. The Brewers' team wOBA of 0.325 is better than Baltimore's 0.310, meaning Milwaukee's lineup has generally been the more productive one. On the run-prevention side, Milwaukee's team ERA of 3.56 and FIP of 3.79 are both lower than Baltimore's 4.12 ERA and 4.16 FIP, reinforcing that the Brewers have had the better pitching staff as a whole this season.
Injury notes for Baltimore include Keegan Akin and Kyle Bradish, both listed on the 15-Day IL, along with Blaze Alexander on the 10-Day IL, while Milwaukee has J.B. Bukauskas and Sean Episcope listed on the 60-Day IL and Grant Anderson on the 15-Day IL. These are simply reported roster statuses rather than confirmed absences for this particular game. Taken together, the pitching matchup and the team-wide statistics both point toward Milwaukee as the side with the stronger underlying numbers entering this contest.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Brewers moneyline. Confidence: Strong.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Brewers: Gary Sánchez. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Orioles: Coby Mayo. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.