Preview for Sunday, September 27, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins
The Braves head to Miami with JR Ritchie on the mound, and his season-to-date numbers show an ERA of 4.79 and a FIP of 5.61 across approximately 67.7 innings pitched. Janson Junk starts for the Marlins with a lower ERA of 4.31, a lower FIP of 4.20, and a larger workload of approximately 119.0 innings pitched. Comparing the two, Junk's marks are better in both run-prevention categories, giving Miami the edge on the mound in this matchup.
Looking at the team-wide figures, Atlanta's offense carries a WP-estimated wOBA of 0.311 while Miami's is a touch higher at 0.317, suggesting a slight advantage for the Marlins' lineup overall. On the pitching side, Atlanta's team ERA of 3.62 is lower than Miami's 4.10, though Atlanta's team FIP of 4.19 is actually a bit better than Miami's team FIP of 4.22, keeping the staff-wide comparison fairly close despite the gap in ERA.
Several injury statuses are on record for both sides. Rayven Antonio and Starlyn De La Cruz of the Braves are listed on the 60-Day IL, and Bryce Elder is listed on the 15-Day IL. For the Marlins, Keyner Benitez is listed on the 60-Day IL, Anthony Bender is listed on the 15-Day IL, and Aiva Arquette is listed on the 7-Day IL. Taken together, the starting pitching numbers and the slightly better team wOBA favor Miami, even as Atlanta's team ERA and FIP keep the overall picture competitive.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Braves +1.5. Confidence: Slight Lean.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Braves: Ronald Acuña Jr.. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Marlins: Griffin Conine. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.