Preview for Saturday, September 26, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins
The Braves head to Miami to face the Marlins with Brent Suter on the mound against Jack Ralston, and the starting pitching numbers clearly favor Atlanta in this one. Suter has logged approximately 88.0 innings with a 3.48 ERA and a WP-calculated FIP of 3.68, a workload and performance profile that stands in contrast to Ralston, who has thrown approximately 16.0 innings with a 4.50 ERA and a FIP of 5.98. Both of those figures suggest Suter has been the more effective and more established starter this season, at least by ERA and FIP.
Looking at the team-wide numbers, the offensive edge tilts slightly toward Miami, whose WP-estimated wOBA sits at 0.317 compared to Atlanta's 0.311. On the run-prevention side, the Braves hold a lower team ERA at 3.62 versus Miami's 4.08, while the FIP figures are close, with Atlanta at 4.19 and Miami at 4.22. Taken together, Atlanta's pitching numbers, both at the team level and in the head-to-head starter comparison, look stronger than Miami's, even though the Marlins carry a small offensive edge in wOBA.
Both rosters list several players on injured lists. For Atlanta, Rayven Antonio is listed on the 60-Day IL, Starlyn De La Cruz is listed on the 60-Day IL, and Bryce Elder is listed on the 15-Day IL. For Miami, Aiva Arquette is listed on the 7-Day IL, Anthony Bender is listed on the 15-Day IL, and Keyner Benitez is listed on the 60-Day IL. These are simply the statuses reported and do not speak to who takes the field today, but with Suter's superior ERA and FIP against Ralston's, along with Atlanta's lower team ERA, the pitching-based numbers favor the Braves in this matchup.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Braves moneyline. Confidence: Confident.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Braves: Ronald Acuña Jr.. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Marlins: Griffin Conine. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.