Preview for Saturday, September 26, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.
Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners
The Angels visit the Mariners with Seattle carrying a modest edge in the offensive numbers, as the Mariners' WP-estimated wOBA of 0.303 sits a touch above Los Angeles' 0.299. On the run-prevention side, Seattle's team ERA of 4.22 and FIP of 4.07 are both slightly better than the Angels' team ERA of 4.26 and FIP of 4.16, suggesting the Mariners have been the marginally stronger club on both sides of the ball this season.
The starting pitching matchup favors Seattle more clearly. Kade Anderson brings an ERA of 4.18 and a WP-calculated FIP of 3.79 over approximately 32.3 innings pitched, both figures better than what Ryan Johnson has produced for the Angels, whose ERA sits at 4.93 and FIP at 5.45 across roughly 95.0 innings. Johnson's larger workload gives him a bigger sample, but the rate numbers clearly point toward Anderson having been the more effective pitcher in his time on the mound.
Both rosters carry notable injury designations. Nacho Alvarez and Rio Foster are each listed on the 60-Day IL for the Angels, with Gustavo Campero listed on the 10-Day IL, while the Mariners have Matt Brash, Nick Davila, and Brennen Davis all listed on the 60-Day IL. With Seattle showing better marks in team wOBA, ERA, and FIP, and Anderson's rate stats outpacing Johnson's, the overall numbers lean toward the Mariners in this matchup.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Mariners moneyline. Confidence: Confident.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Angels: Mike Trout. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Mariners: Lazaro Montes. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.