Preview for Friday, September 25, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.
Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners
The Angels visit the Mariners with a matchup that leans slightly toward Seattle on team-wide offensive numbers, though the gap is narrow. Seattle's WP-estimated wOBA sits at 0.303 compared to Los Angeles at 0.299, giving the Mariners a small edge at the plate. On the run-prevention side, Seattle's team ERA of 4.21 and FIP of 4.07 are both a touch better than the Angels' 4.26 ERA and 4.16 FIP, suggesting Seattle's pitching staff as a whole has been marginally more effective this season.
The starting pitching matchup favors Los Angeles on the individual level. Reid Detmers brings a 3.47 ERA and a WP-calculated FIP of 3.13 over approximately 179.0 innings pitched, both notably stronger marks than Bryce Miller's 3.99 ERA and 4.50 FIP across roughly 112.7 innings. Detmers' underlying FIP in particular stands out as the best number in this matchup, pointing to consistent performance beyond just results on balls in play, while Miller's higher FIP relative to his ERA suggests his run prevention may have benefited somewhat from factors outside his direct control.
Both rosters carry notable absences. Nacho Alvarez and Rio Foster are listed on the 60-Day IL for the Angels, while Gustavo Campero is listed on the 10-Day IL for that same club. Seattle's list includes Matt Brash, Nick Davila and Brennen Davis, all listed on the 60-Day IL. Weighing the pitching matchup against the team totals, Detmers' individual numbers give the Angels a meaningful advantage on the mound, while the Mariners hold the slimmer overall statistical edge on offense and team pitching.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Angels +1.5. Confidence: Slight Lean.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Angels: Mike Trout. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Mariners: Lazaro Montes. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.