Preview for Thursday, September 24, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.
Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners
The Angels visit the Mariners with a starting pitching matchup that clearly favors Seattle. Bryan Woo brings an ERA of 3.92 and a WP-calculated FIP of 3.34 across approximately 167.7 innings pitched, numbers that point to a season of steady, effective work. Grayson Rodriguez, by contrast, carries an ERA of 5.96 and a FIP of 4.92 over approximately 93.7 innings pitched, figures that suggest considerably more traffic and hard contact allowed this season.
Looking at the team-level numbers, Seattle also holds a modest offensive edge with a WP-estimated wOBA of 0.303 compared to Los Angeles at 0.298. On the run-prevention side, the Mariners' team ERA of 4.20 and FIP of 4.07 are both lower than the Angels' team ERA of 4.26 and FIP of 4.16, indicating Seattle's pitching staff has been the more effective group overall this season.
Both clubs have several players listed on the injured list. Nacho Alvarez and Rio Foster of the Angels are each listed on the 60-Day IL, while Gustavo Campero is listed on the 10-Day IL. For Seattle, Matt Brash, Nick Davila, and Brennen Davis are all listed on the 60-Day IL. Taken together, the statistical picture across pitching and offense favors the Mariners, with Woo's strong underlying numbers standing out as the most significant factor in this matchup.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Mariners moneyline. Confidence: Strong.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Angels: Mike Trout. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Mariners: Lazaro Montes. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.