WP Auto Picks — 2026-07-28
10/15 (66.7%)
10W - 5L
✗ LOSS
(3-4)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Strong Favourite badge
Red Sox
@
9:40 PM ET
Athletics
Strong
Career: 64.4%
(139-77)
POTD
Red Sox moneyline
Red Sox
Athletics
Away SP: 
Jake Bennett (xFIP 3.19)
Jake Bennett (xFIP 3.19)Home SP: 
Gage Jump (xFIP 3.81)
Gage Jump (xFIP 3.81)Red Sox Key Injuries:
Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Curtis Mead
Athletics Key Injuries:
J.T. Ginn, Joshua Kuroda-Grauer, Shea Langeliers, Zack Gelof
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Curtis Mead
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Tyler Soderstrom
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 10.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(6-5)
Guardians
@
1:40 PM ET
DH Game 1 of 2
Reds
Confident
Career: 55.0%
(390-319)
Reds moneyline
Guardians
Reds
Away SP: 
Slade Cecconi (xFIP 4.30)
Slade Cecconi (xFIP 4.30)Home SP: 
Chase Burns (xFIP 3.40)
Chase Burns (xFIP 3.40)Guardians Key Injuries:
None
Reds Key Injuries:
Blake Dunn, Spencer Steer
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
Rhys Hoskins
Reds Dark Horse HR:
JJ Bleday
JJ BledayOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(8-7)
Diamondbacks
@
6:40 PM ET
Pirates
Slight Lean
Career: 60.4%
(609-400)
Diamondbacks +1.5
Diamondbacks
Pirates
Away SP: 
Brandon Pfaadt (xFIP 4.41)
Brandon Pfaadt (xFIP 4.41)Home SP: 
Bubba Chandler (xFIP 4.49)
Bubba Chandler (xFIP 4.49)Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
Michael Soroka, Jordan Lawlar, Tommy Troy
Pirates Key Injuries:
Evan Sisk, Spencer Horwitz
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Corbin CarrollPirates Dark Horse HR:
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn ValdezOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(0-14)
Orioles
@
6:40 PM ET
Tigers
Slight Lean
Career: 60.4%
(609-400)
Orioles +1.5
Orioles
Tigers
Away SP: Dean Kremer (xFIP 4.41)
Home SP: 
Troy Melton (xFIP 3.96)
Troy Melton (xFIP 3.96)Orioles Key Injuries:
Samuel Basallo, Adley Rutschman, Blaze Alexander
Tigers Key Injuries:
Kerry Carpenter
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
Christian Encarnacion-StrandTigers Dark Horse HR:
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer TorkelsonOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(0-1)
Phillies
@
6:40 PM ET
Marlins
Slight Lean
Career: 60.4%
(609-400)
Phillies +1.5
Phillies
Marlins
Away SP: 
Aaron Nola (xFIP 4.27)
Aaron Nola (xFIP 4.27)Home SP: 
Sandy Alcantara (xFIP 4.06)
Sandy Alcantara (xFIP 4.06)Phillies Key Injuries:
None
Marlins Key Injuries:
Anthony Bender, William Kempner, Max Meyer, Owen Caissie
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperMarlins Dark Horse HR:
Griffin Conine
Griffin ConineOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(4-1)
Rangers
@
6:40 PM ET
Rays
Confident
Career: 55.0%
(390-319)
Rays moneyline
Rangers
Rays
Away SP: 
Cal Quantrill (xFIP 4.88)
Cal Quantrill (xFIP 4.88)Home SP: 
Griffin Jax (xFIP 3.95)
Griffin Jax (xFIP 3.95)Rangers Key Injuries:
Kyle Higashioka, Corey Seager, Josh Jung
Rays Key Injuries:
Jake Fraley
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Wyatt Langford
Wyatt LangfordRays Dark Horse HR:
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-8)
Blue Jays
@
6:45 PM ET
Nationals
Confident
Career: 55.0%
(390-319)
Nationals moneyline
Blue Jays
Nationals
Away SP: Shane Bieber (xFIP 5.03)
Home SP: 
Cade Cavalli (xFIP 3.18)
Cade Cavalli (xFIP 3.18)Blue Jays Key Injuries:
Jonatan Clase
Nationals Key Injuries:
Connelly Early, Brad Lord, PJ Poulin
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Luis Urías
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
CJ Abrams
CJ AbramsOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 6:30 PM ET
Braves
@
7:10 PM ET
Mets
Confident
Career: 55.0%
(390-319)
Braves moneyline
Braves
Mets
Away SP: 
Chris Sale (xFIP 2.67)
Chris Sale (xFIP 2.67)Home SP: 
Christian Scott (xFIP 3.75)
Christian Scott (xFIP 3.75)Braves Key Injuries:
Robert Suarez
Mets Key Injuries:
Juan Soto
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Drake Baldwin
Drake BaldwinMets Dark Horse HR:
Tyrone Taylor
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 1:40 PM ET
✓ WIN
(0-2)
Guardians
@
7:10 PM ET
DH Game 2 of 2
Reds
Confident
Career: 55.0%
(390-319)
Reds moneyline
Guardians
Reds
Away SP: 
Gavin Williams (xFIP 4.30)
Gavin Williams (xFIP 4.30)Home SP: TBD (not yet announced)
Guardians Key Injuries:
None
Reds Key Injuries:
Blake Dunn, Spencer Steer
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
Rhys Hoskins
Reds Dark Horse HR:
JJ Bleday
JJ BledayOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-3)
Royals
@
7:40 PM ET
Twins
Slight Lean
Career: 60.4%
(609-400)
Royals +1.5
Royals
Twins
Away SP: 
Seth Lugo (xFIP 4.21)
Seth Lugo (xFIP 4.21)Home SP: 
Taj Bradley (xFIP 3.84)
Taj Bradley (xFIP 3.84)Royals Key Injuries:
Beck Way, Maikel Garcia, Kyle Isbel
Twins Key Injuries:
Anthony Banda
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Carter Jensen
Carter JensenTwins Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan JeffersOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-2)
Yankees
@
7:40 PM ET
White Sox
Confident
Career: 55.0%
(390-319)
Yankees moneyline
Yankees
White Sox
Away SP: 
Gerrit Cole (xFIP 3.50)
Gerrit Cole (xFIP 3.50)Home SP: 
Anthony Kay (xFIP 4.97)
Anthony Kay (xFIP 4.97)Yankees Key Injuries:
Cody Bellinger, Giancarlo Stanton
White Sox Key Injuries:
None
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul GoldschmidtWhite Sox Dark Horse HR:
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka MurakamiOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(10-2)
Cubs
@
7:45 PM ET
Cardinals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.4%
(609-400)
Cubs +1.5
Cubs
Cardinals
Away SP: 
Colin Rea (xFIP 4.65)
Colin Rea (xFIP 4.65)Home SP: 
Michael McGreevy (xFIP 4.14)
Michael McGreevy (xFIP 4.14)Cubs Key Injuries:
Ben Brown, Riley Martin, Hoby Milner, Daniel Palencia, Ethan Roberts, +1 more
Cardinals Key Injuries:
JoJo Romero
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Michael Conforto
Michael ConfortoCardinals Dark Horse HR:
Nelson Velázquez
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 7:30 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-2)
Astros
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Slight Lean
Career: 60.4%
(609-400)
Astros +1.5
Astros
Angels
Away SP: 
Peter Lambert (xFIP 4.08)
Peter Lambert (xFIP 4.08)Home SP: 
Reid Detmers (xFIP 3.34)
Reid Detmers (xFIP 3.34)Astros Key Injuries:
None
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Christian WalkerAngels Dark Horse HR:
Mike Trout
Mike TroutOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(7-8)
Rockies
@
9:40 PM ET
Padres
Confident
Career: 55.0%
(390-319)
Padres moneyline
Rockies
Padres
Away SP: Michael Lorenzen (xFIP 4.65)
Home SP: 
Michael King (xFIP 4.10)
Michael King (xFIP 4.10)Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Padres Key Injuries:
Jason Adam, Jeremiah Estrada, Miguel Andujar, Samad Taylor
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Mickey Moniak
Mickey MoniakPadres Dark Horse HR:
Ty France
Ty FranceOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(8-2)
Brewers
@
9:45 PM ET
Giants
Confident
Career: 55.0%
(390-319)
Brewers moneyline
Brewers
Giants
Away SP: 
Logan Henderson (xFIP 2.90)
Logan Henderson (xFIP 2.90)Home SP: 
Landen Roupp (xFIP 3.37)
Landen Roupp (xFIP 3.37)Brewers Key Injuries:
DL Hall, Kyle Harrison
Giants Key Injuries:
Victor Bericoto, Matt Chapman, Jonah Cox, Casey Schmitt
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Gary Sánchez
Gary SánchezGiants Dark Horse HR:
Casey Schmitt
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 9:30 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(7-6)
Mariners
@
10:10 PM ET
Dodgers
Strong
Career: 64.4%
(139-77)
Dodgers moneyline
Mariners
Dodgers
Away SP: Luis Castillo (xFIP 4.16)
Home SP: 
Justin Wrobleski (xFIP 3.32)
Justin Wrobleski (xFIP 3.32)Mariners Key Injuries:
Matt Brash, Brendan Donovan
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Blake Treinen
Mariners Dark Horse HR:
Luke Raley
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Max Muncy
Max MuncyOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 9:55 PM ET