WP Auto Picks — 2026-07-27
5/11 (45.5%)
5W - 6L
✗ LOSS
(3-2)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Blue Jays
@
6:45 PM ET
Nationals
Lock
Career: 61.5%
(24-15)
POTD
Nationals -1.5
Blue Jays
Nationals
Away SP: 
Max Scherzer (xFIP 6.71)
Max Scherzer (xFIP 6.71)Home SP: 
Eddy Yean (xFIP 2.79)
Eddy Yean (xFIP 2.79)Blue Jays Key Injuries:
Jonatan Clase
Nationals Key Injuries:
Connelly Early, Brad Lord, PJ Poulin
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Luis Urías
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
CJ Abrams
CJ AbramsOver/Under (Game Total): Over 10.0
Posted 6:30 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-7)
Mariners
@
2:35 PM ET
Rangers
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(390-318)
Mariners moneyline
Mariners
Rangers
Away SP: 
George Kirby (xFIP 3.31)
George Kirby (xFIP 3.31)Home SP: 
Kumar Rocker (xFIP 4.12)
Kumar Rocker (xFIP 4.12)Mariners Key Injuries:
Matt Brash, Brendan Donovan
Rangers Key Injuries:
Kyle Higashioka, Corey Seager, Josh Jung
Mariners Dark Horse HR:
Luke Raley
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Joc Pederson
Joc PedersonOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 2:20 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-3)
Diamondbacks
@
6:40 PM ET
Pirates
Slight Lean
Career: 60.3%
(607-399)
Diamondbacks +1.5
Diamondbacks
Pirates
Away SP: 
Merrill Kelly (xFIP 5.19)
Merrill Kelly (xFIP 5.19)Home SP: Mitch Keller (xFIP 4.38)
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
Michael Soroka, Jordan Lawlar, Tommy Troy
Pirates Key Injuries:
Evan Sisk, Spencer Horwitz
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Corbin CarrollPirates Dark Horse HR:
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn ValdezOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(8-5)
Orioles
@
6:40 PM ET
Tigers
Slight Lean
Career: 60.3%
(607-399)
Orioles +1.5
Orioles
Tigers
Away SP: 
Kyle Bradish (xFIP 4.01)
Kyle Bradish (xFIP 4.01)Home SP: 
Keider Montero (xFIP 3.63)
Keider Montero (xFIP 3.63)Orioles Key Injuries:
Samuel Basallo, Adley Rutschman, Blaze Alexander
Tigers Key Injuries:
Kerry Carpenter
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
Christian Encarnacion-StrandTigers Dark Horse HR:
Kerry Carpenter
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(7-8)
Phillies
@
6:40 PM ET
Marlins
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(390-318)
Phillies moneyline
Phillies
Marlins
Away SP: 
Zack Wheeler (xFIP 2.98)
Zack Wheeler (xFIP 2.98)Home SP: 
Tyler Phillips (xFIP 4.60)
Tyler Phillips (xFIP 4.60)Phillies Key Injuries:
None
Marlins Key Injuries:
Anthony Bender, William Kempner, Max Meyer, Owen Caissie
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperMarlins Dark Horse HR:
Griffin Conine
Griffin ConineOver/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-14)
Braves
@
7:10 PM ET
Mets
Slight Lean
Career: 60.3%
(607-399)
Braves +1.5
Braves
Mets
Away SP: 
Martín Pérez (xFIP 4.46)
Martín Pérez (xFIP 4.46)Home SP: 
Zac Thornton (xFIP 3.04)
Zac Thornton (xFIP 3.04)Braves Key Injuries:
Robert Suarez
Mets Key Injuries:
Juan Soto
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Drake Baldwin
Drake BaldwinMets Dark Horse HR:
Tyrone Taylor
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
Guardians
@
7:10 PM ET
Reds
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(390-318)
Reds moneyline
Guardians
Reds
Away SP: 
Slade Cecconi (xFIP 4.30)
Slade Cecconi (xFIP 4.30)Home SP: 
Chase Burns (xFIP 3.40)
Chase Burns (xFIP 3.40)Guardians Key Injuries:
None
Reds Key Injuries:
Blake Dunn, Spencer Steer
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
Rhys Hoskins
Reds Dark Horse HR:
JJ Bleday
JJ BledayOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(9-5)
Yankees
@
7:40 PM ET
White Sox
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(390-318)
Yankees moneyline
Yankees
White Sox
Away SP: 
Max Fried (xFIP 2.65)
Max Fried (xFIP 2.65)Home SP: Noah Schultz (xFIP 5.01)
Yankees Key Injuries:
Cody Bellinger, Giancarlo Stanton
White Sox Key Injuries:
None
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul GoldschmidtWhite Sox Dark Horse HR:
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka MurakamiOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(7-3)
Cubs
@
7:45 PM ET
Cardinals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.3%
(607-399)
Cardinals +1.5
Cubs
Cardinals
Away SP: 
David Peterson (xFIP 4.20)
David Peterson (xFIP 4.20)Home SP: 
Matthew Liberatore (xFIP 4.38)
Matthew Liberatore (xFIP 4.38)Cubs Key Injuries:
Ben Brown, Riley Martin, Hoby Milner, Daniel Palencia, Ethan Roberts, +1 more
Cardinals Key Injuries:
JoJo Romero
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Michael Conforto
Michael ConfortoCardinals Dark Horse HR:
Nelson Velázquez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 7:30 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-4)
Astros
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Slight Lean
Career: 60.3%
(607-399)
Astros +1.5
Astros
Angels
Away SP: 
Tatsuya Imai (xFIP 4.49)
Tatsuya Imai (xFIP 4.49)Home SP: 
Walbert Ureña (xFIP 3.87)
Walbert Ureña (xFIP 3.87)Astros Key Injuries:
None
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Christian WalkerAngels Dark Horse HR:
Mike Trout
Mike TroutOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-2)
Red Sox
@
9:40 PM ET
Athletics
Strong
Career: 64.4%
(139-77)
Red Sox moneyline
Red Sox
Athletics
Away SP: 
Payton Tolle (xFIP 3.30)
Payton Tolle (xFIP 3.30)Home SP: 
Jack Perkins (xFIP 4.05)
Jack Perkins (xFIP 4.05)Red Sox Key Injuries:
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Athletics Key Injuries:
J.T. Ginn, Joshua Kuroda-Grauer, Shea Langeliers, Zack Gelof
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Curtis Mead
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Tyler Soderstrom
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 10.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(0-3)
Brewers
@
9:45 PM ET
Giants
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(390-318)
Brewers moneyline
Brewers
Giants
Away SP: 
Brandon Sproat (xFIP 4.74)
Brandon Sproat (xFIP 4.74)Home SP: Tyler Mahle (xFIP 4.25)
Brewers Key Injuries:
DL Hall, Kyle Harrison
Giants Key Injuries:
Victor Bericoto, Matt Chapman, Jonah Cox
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Gary Sánchez
Gary SánchezGiants Dark Horse HR:
Casey Schmitt
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 9:30 PM ET